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Air Pollution Cutting Life Expectancy in Pakistan by 3.9 Years, Study Finds

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Chronic exposure to toxic air is cutting life expectancy across Pakistan by an estimated 3.9 years, according to a new report that provides the country’s first unified picture of air pollution, its sources and its health costs. The findings present air pollution not as a seasonal inconvenience but as a major, ongoing threat to public health and to the economy.

The report, titled ‘Unveiling Pakistan’s Air Pollution: A National Landscape Report on Health Risks, Sources, and Solutions’, was produced by the Pakistan Air Quality Initiative. It is described as the country’s first unified multi-sector emissions inventory with multi-city evaluations. That description matters: rather than looking at one city or one sector in isolation, the report brings together emissions from multiple sectors and evaluations across multiple cities, giving a national landscape rather than a patchwork of local studies. A unified inventory of this kind is intended to provide a firmer basis for policy, because it shows where pollution comes from and how it varies across the country.

The headline health findings are stark. The report found that chronic toxic-air exposure cuts life expectancy across Pakistan by an estimated 3.9 years. That is an average effect across the population, reflecting the cumulative impact of breathing polluted air over years. Alongside that figure, the report drives home the human cost in annual terms: roughly 128,000 premature deaths a year are linked to air pollution. The economic toll is also quantified: it is equivalent to 6.5 per cent of gross domestic product.

Lahore illustrates the problem at its most acute. The city’s average annual PM2.5 concentration exceeds 110 micrograms per cubic metre, more than 22 times the World Health Organization’s annual guideline of 5 micrograms per cubic metre. PM2.5 refers to fine particulate matter, particles small enough to penetrate deep into the lungs and enter the bloodstream. A concentration more than 22 times the WHO guideline is not a marginal excess; it is a multiple that places Lahore among the most polluted cities in the world on a sustained, annual basis, not only on individual bad days.

The report identified the sources of Lahore’s PM2.5. Vehicular transport is the primary source, followed by industrial operations at 28 per cent and traditional brick kilns at 17 per cent. That breakdown gives policymakers a clear set of targets. Transport, as the largest source, points to vehicle emissions, fuel quality and traffic management. Industry, at more than a quarter of the total, points to factories and industrial processes. Brick kilns, at 17 per cent, point to a traditional industry whose emissions have long been a concern in Punjab. The report also offered a note of hope: mitigation measures could cut pollutants by up to half. A reduction of that scale would not eliminate the problem, but it would represent a substantial improvement in air quality and, by extension, in health outcomes.

Separately, Lahore’s air quality on Thursday, 29 October, underlined the report’s findings in real time. Lahore was named the world’s most polluted city on that day, with an Air Quality Index of 419 in the IQAir 10 to 11am window. That figure is explicitly attributed to that morning window on 29 October; it is not presented here as a new reading for 30 October. It is a snapshot of a particular hour, and it shows how severe conditions can become during the morning. Cairo followed at 274 in the same comparison, while Karachi placed eighth globally with 165, as documented by Dawn. The global ranking puts Lahore’s problem in international context: on that morning, no other major city in the comparison recorded worse air.

The Punjab government dashboard for the same period showed severe readings beyond Lahore as well. Kasur, Nankana Sahib at 261, Hafizabad at 250, Sahiwal at 210, Sheikhupura at 205, Jhang at 203 and Rajanpur at 201 also recorded severe readings. That list shows the problem is regional, not confined to one city. When multiple districts across Punjab record readings above 200, it points to a widespread episode of poor air affecting a large population, with sources that cross district boundaries.

Sources: Express Tribune via ANI/The Tribune (India), Dawn

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